CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590e872a351d3f49a940c515fb808e1676627ddf396b217852b5b70dd73ed037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof FUT Esports, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FUT Esports | 49c | 63,168$31,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,013.06 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 0c | 37,181$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 51c | 34,127$17,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,753.57 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Sinners | 50c | 7,920$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.06 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners | 51c | 6,766$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.22 | 861 | 58.1%500 W · 361 L | +59.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Sinners | 52c | 6,618$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.65 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Sinners | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 301 | 48.8%147 W · 154 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sinners | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed FUT Esports | 50c | 4,477$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.29 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 3,861$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Sinners | 51c | 2,651$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.59 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Sinners | 51c | 2,580$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.39 | 330 | 61.5%203 W · 127 L | +23.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sinners | 51c | 2,575$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.75 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Sinners | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sinners | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,048 | 53.8%1,101 W · 947 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Sinners | 51c | 1,135$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.38 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,071$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.97 | 870 | 46%400 W · 470 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sinners | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sinners | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.86 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Sinners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 797 | 40%319 W · 478 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sinners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 819 | 44.4%364 W · 455 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 46c | 834.04$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.63 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Sinners | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Sinners | 51c | 591$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.59 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Sinners | 50c | 555.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Sinners | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Sinners | 51c | 541.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.21 | 660 | 54.1%357 W · 303 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sinners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 499 | 45.9%229 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Sinners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Sinners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Sinners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Sinners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed FUT Esports | 48c | 496$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 248 | 48.8%121 W · 127 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Sinners | 52c | 491$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Sinners | 51c | 356.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners | 53c | 352.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sinners | 50c | 299.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 1,026 | 48.8%501 W · 525 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FUT Esports | 53c | 257.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 777 | 47.7%371 W · 406 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sinners | 47c | 242.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 282 | 48.6%137 W · 145 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed FUT Esports | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 233 | 40.8%95 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sinners | 44c | 234.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 1,042 | 53.1%553 W · 489 L | +62.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed FUT Esports | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sinners | 50c | 205.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 412 | 49.3%203 W · 209 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FUT Esports | 50c | 201.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Sinners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 754 | 54.6%412 W · 342 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed FUT Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sinners | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed FUT Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 609 | 38.3%233 W · 376 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Sinners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 417 | 55.2%230 W · 187 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…d2d8backed FUT Esports | 49c | 192.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Sinners | 51c | 177.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Sinners | 51c | 155.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 511 | 50.3%257 W · 254 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 321 | 39.3%126 W · 195 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 148.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Sinners | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 337 | 58.5%197 W · 140 L | +22.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…5988backed FUT Esports | 50c | 139.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 137.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…6d95backed Sinners | 51c | 129.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 315 | 48.6%153 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…06d7backed FUT Esports | 50c | 119.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed FUT Esports | 50c | 113.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Sinners | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed FUT Esports | 49c | 108.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sinners | 50c | 103.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed FUT Esports | 49c | 100.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sinners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Sinners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 56.8%212 W · 161 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Sinners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Sinners | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 424 | 50.2%213 W · 211 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed FUT Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed FUT Esports | 50c | 98.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…d61bbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 94.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Sinners | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed FUT Esports | 48c | 77.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed FUT Esports | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Sinners | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 589 | 54.2%319 W · 270 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sinners | 49c | 68.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1,094 | 51.1%559 W · 535 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed FUT Esports | 50c | 60.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 60.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…6171backed FUT Esports | 68c | 60.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed FUT Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.