TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
METANOIA WOLVESof Guara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bf1…294fbacked Guara Esports45c1,348$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Guara Esports35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35029154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Guara Esports53c941.67$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.32,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed METANOIA WOLVES65c798.18$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.364266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports50c765.22$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.922,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Guara Esports36c659.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.224,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed METANOIA WOLVES62c635.05$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.68361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed METANOIA WOLVES55c606.43$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Guara Esports33c598.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3744343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Guara Esports40c554.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed METANOIA WOLVES59c554.39$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.071,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Guara Esports37c537.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guara Esports32c527.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.027,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES52c457.9$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.691,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports28c406.89$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.424,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x475f…82d7backed Guara Esports47c400$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked METANOIA WOLVES49c317.28$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.682,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed METANOIA WOLVES60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…9756backed METANOIA WOLVES65c248.86$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports24c244$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.525,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed METANOIA WOLVES60c233$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0445748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Guara Esports40c215.01$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports39c201.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.672,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed METANOIA WOLVES78c199.27$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Guara Esports59c195$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9215246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Guara Esports58c173.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES50c168$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.432,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Guara Esports36c162.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3821950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1afd…427ebacked METANOIA WOLVES64c155.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.214864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports32c150.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.095,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES57c149.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.92,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.023,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked METANOIA WOLVES56c133.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9521536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Guara Esports39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed METANOIA WOLVES61c123.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6541475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked METANOIA WOLVES61c120.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8232458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports41c118.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.641,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked METANOIA WOLVES59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6410867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Guara Esports33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.955123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Guara Esports36c113.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed METANOIA WOLVES53c113.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2614447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7251…4a60backed Guara Esports45c111.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Guara Esports36c98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Guara Esports54c96.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4462248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports43c96.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.312,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked METANOIA WOLVES57c95.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3612071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports17c89.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports41c88.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.122,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…45d6backed Guara Esports37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed METANOIA WOLVES65c76.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4410338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c312backed Guara Esports39c70.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.724030%12 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed METANOIA WOLVES58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.319762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Guara Esports18c62.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1851446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…863bbacked METANOIA WOLVES59c55.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21de…506ebacked Guara Esports37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e79…1763backed Guara Esports38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Guara Esports39c51.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.791,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked METANOIA WOLVES60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Guara Esports37c49.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3439440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed Guara Esports43c46.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked METANOIA WOLVES47c41.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.964854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Guara Esports36c39.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed METANOIA WOLVES65c37.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.242,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Guara Esports51c33.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2740457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc32…5f28backed Guara Esports66c33.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed METANOIA WOLVES60c33.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2311358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Guara Esports38c32.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed METANOIA WOLVES60c31.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.535448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed METANOIA WOLVES62c30.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7714060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Guara Esports50c30.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e2…38febacked METANOIA WOLVES60c30.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+184%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Guara Esports36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88836.4%32 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Guara Esports40c29.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ce1…e289backed METANOIA WOLVES70c29.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.873876.3%29 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x233a…ae12backed Guara Esports41c28.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Guara Esports38c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed METANOIA WOLVES58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.926350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed METANOIA WOLVES69c24.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6622346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed METANOIA WOLVES60c23.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed METANOIA WOLVES61c22.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5920147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed METANOIA WOLVES61c20.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8816363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Guara Esports59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.851968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1e…1e15backed METANOIA WOLVES50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed METANOIA WOLVES63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0325643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed METANOIA WOLVES63c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8347054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed METANOIA WOLVES60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26450%32 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed METANOIA WOLVES70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.152369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.