CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab10fd74cde92a6c629ab27ce671c9d63992f0b3ecdf3ce8e89beedf39aa9eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guara Esportsof Guara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Guara Esports | 50c | 2,859$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 48c | 1,698$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.62 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 538.52$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 402.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 359.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 355.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 306.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 299$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Guara Esports | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports | 58c | 205.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 61c | 197.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 69c | 185.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Guara Esports | 41c | 185$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 180.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 74c | 166.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 164.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports | 74c | 130.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 128.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Guara Esports | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Guara Esports | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Guara Esports | 42c | 74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Guara Esports | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Guara Esports | 69c | 48.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Guara Esports | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Guara Esports | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Guara Esports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Guara Esports | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Guara Esports | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Guara Esports | 58c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Guara Esports | 69c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.