CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515dcc88f6d462d4b9aa04b44f0c0f1aa454f94988a7bd0a31cb6e51bfc58e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Luminosity, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Luminosity | 20c | 28,886$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.73 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Luminosity | 20c | 11,751$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.96 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Luminosity | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit | 80c | 6,723$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.02 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luminosity | 16c | 6,165$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.21 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Luminosity | 24c | 6,019$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.66 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Luminosity | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Luminosity | 17c | 5,996$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.38 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Luminosity | 23c | 5,486$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.02 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 74c | 5,327$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.14 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Luminosity | 15c | 3,925$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Luminosity | 34c | 3,885$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.13 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Luminosity | 18c | 3,752$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.68 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 76c | 3,366$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.69 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Spirit | 53c | 3,230$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 73c | 3,229$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.36 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 73c | 3,188$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.47 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luminosity | 23c | 3,075$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 80c | 3,059$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 76c | 3,026$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.38 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Spirit | 79c | 2,920$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.12 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Luminosity | 24c | 2,760$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.4 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Luminosity | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Luminosity | 24c | 2,470$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 73c | 2,412$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.37 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Luminosity | 15c | 2,394$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Luminosity | 7c | 2,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Luminosity | 16c | 2,175$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luminosity | 29c | 2,115$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.04 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Luminosity | 2c | 1,980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Luminosity | 17c | 1,860$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Luminosity | 28c | 1,855$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.11 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Luminosity | 22c | 1,750$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.16 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Luminosity | 22c | 1,680$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.74 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Spirit | 55c | 1,666$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.7 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Luminosity | 65c | 1,643$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.24 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Luminosity | 5c | 1,630$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Spirit | 77c | 1,549$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Luminosity | 32c | 1,320$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.85 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Spirit | 77c | 1,246$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 70c | 1,152$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit | 66c | 1,137$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.06 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Luminosity | 5c | 1,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 76c | 1,061$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Luminosity | 28c | 1,059$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Spirit | 54c | 1,044$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.41 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Luminosity | 41c | 1,014$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Luminosity | 30c | 1,004$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Luminosity | 25c | 1,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Luminosity | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luminosity | 13c | 950.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luminosity | 11c | 913.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…669ebacked Luminosity | 14c | 863.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spirit | 62c | 860.39$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Spirit | 34c | 860.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Spirit | 70c | 857.23$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit | 40c | 823.22$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.93 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Luminosity | 46c | 782.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Luminosity | 39c | 776.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed Luminosity | 33c | 765.02$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Spirit | 76c | 760.72$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luminosity | 29c | 701.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Luminosity | 15c | 623.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Spirit | 52c | 612.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Luminosity | 16c | 610$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Luminosity | 49c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Luminosity | 27c | 592.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Luminosity | 52c | 565.12$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Luminosity | 30c | 558.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit | 60c | 549.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Luminosity | 10c | 542.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spirit | 72c | 540.51$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Spirit | 71c | 530.3$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…ff10backed Luminosity | 20c | 524.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 75c | 512.61$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Luminosity | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Luminosity | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Spirit | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked Luminosity | 25c | 485.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Luminosity | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Luminosity | 31c | 478.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Luminosity | 21c | 468.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Luminosity | 14c | 459.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed Luminosity | 23c | 451.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Spirit | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Spirit | 71c | 415.77$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Spirit | 76c | 398.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Luminosity | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Luminosity | 25c | 365.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit | 72c | 356.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Luminosity | 25c | 352.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Luminosity | 16c | 337.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 30c | 331.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Spirit | 73c | 329.45$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luminosity | 29c | 319.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Spirit | 70c | 312.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Luminosity | 18c | 304.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Spirit | 74c | 301.16$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed Spirit | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.