CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ff725f2038965f1c85efb0aa084dd82b1b82a51c2e7b27d31fe6578dad1983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Luminosity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Luminosity | 39c | 35,000$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.99 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spirit | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed Luminosity | 39c | 25,000$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Spirit | 61c | 18,271$11,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.61 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 62c | 14,386$8,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.54 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Luminosity | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.99 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit | 62c | 9,209$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.35 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Spirit | 61c | 8,200$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 60c | 7,909$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…c6b7backed Spirit | 62c | 6,575$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Luminosity | 38c | 6,545$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.25 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Luminosity | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Luminosity | 39c | 6,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Luminosity | 39c | 4,454$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.19 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Luminosity | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Luminosity | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Luminosity | 40c | 2,208$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.16 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Luminosity | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Luminosity | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Spirit | 60c | 1,786$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Luminosity | 38c | 1,714$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.16 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Luminosity | 43c | 1,650$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.95 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Luminosity | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.61 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 63c | 1,448$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Spirit | 61c | 1,200$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…d66abacked Spirit | 62c | 1,180$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.02 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Luminosity | 38c | 1,103$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Luminosity | 37c | 977.7$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.75 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Luminosity | 39c | 974.66$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Luminosity | 38c | 866$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Spirit | 62c | 790$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit | 69c | 725.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Luminosity | 40c | 699.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Luminosity | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 62c | 555$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Luminosity | 38c | 507.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Spirit | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Luminosity | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Spirit | 53c | 499.48$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Spirit | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Spirit | 62c | 476$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Spirit | 62c | 443.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Luminosity | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Luminosity | 39c | 400$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Spirit | 63c | 390$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Luminosity | 40c | 379.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 448 | 52.5%235 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Spirit | 63c | 373.37$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Luminosity | 40c | 348.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 431 | 55.9%241 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Spirit | 58c | 338.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Luminosity | 37c | 335.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Spirit | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 69c | 318.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Luminosity | 38c | 308.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luminosity | 38c | 292.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Spirit | 36c | 279.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Luminosity | 40c | 271.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Luminosity | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Luminosity | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Spirit | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Luminosity | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Spirit | 60c | 245.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Spirit | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 214 | 62.1%133 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Luminosity | 57c | 221.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Luminosity | 38c | 215.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…40f4backed Luminosity | 38c | 211.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Luminosity | 32c | 208.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Spirit | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Spirit | 60c | 200.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Spirit | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Luminosity | 35c | 182.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Spirit | 63c | 181.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Spirit | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 59c | 177.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Luminosity | 40c | 172.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…65d8backed Spirit | 59c | 170.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Luminosity | 41c | 170.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked Spirit | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Luminosity | 38c | 158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Spirit | 61c | 153.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…67b5backed Luminosity | 40c | 152.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Spirit | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Luminosity | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Spirit | 62c | 147.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 76c | 135$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Spirit | 50c | 133.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Spirit | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Spirit | 61c | 126.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Spirit | 40c | 126.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Spirit | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Spirit | 61c | 122.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Spirit | 62c | 120.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Luminosity | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Luminosity | 26c | 119.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Spirit | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.