CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35fb1bd933bf65e149ad9f2f4e429d1b44a9b4ecc8e2cf164d4e205ab3e4cb08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Luminosity, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luminosity | 16c | 31,717$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.79 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Luminosity | 25c | 8,005$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Spirit | 74c | 5,959$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.56 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Luminosity | 25c | 5,440$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Luminosity | 22c | 5,048$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.16 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit | 80c | 5,024$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.58 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Spirit | 77c | 4,657$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.01 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 75c | 4,494$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.19 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 79c | 4,287$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Luminosity | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Luminosity | 26c | 3,236$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Spirit | 76c | 3,193$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Luminosity | 24c | 2,800$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.92 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Luminosity | 27c | 2,720$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Luminosity | 24c | 2,557$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.09 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 77c | 1,776$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…2399backed Luminosity | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Spirit | 74c | 1,274$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.29 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 77c | 1,147$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Luminosity | 16c | 1,129$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spirit | 77c | 1,032$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Luminosity | 14c | 1,027$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Spirit | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Luminosity | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Luminosity | 17c | 1,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Luminosity | 25c | 692.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Spirit | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Spirit | 75c | 663.33$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Luminosity | 18c | 612.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 78c | 541.21$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 80c | 527.45$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Luminosity | 22c | 519.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 74c | 501.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Spirit | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Luminosity | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Luminosity | 24c | 496.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 74c | 413$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Luminosity | 16c | 402.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit | 75c | 381.12$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit | 77c | 358.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luminosity | 19c | 339.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Spirit | 76c | 310.76$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Luminosity | 24c | 299.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Luminosity | 22c | 275.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Luminosity | 21c | 271.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Luminosity | 24c | 265.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Spirit | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spirit | 73c | 256$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…b7a8backed Luminosity | 11c | 223.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luminosity | 8c | 213.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…492bbacked Spirit | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit | 76c | 199.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Spirit | 75c | 197.46$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luminosity | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Spirit | 75c | 159.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Spirit | 78c | 152.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Luminosity | 23c | 136$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Luminosity | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Spirit | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Luminosity | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Luminosity | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Luminosity | 24c | 104.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…a516backed Luminosity | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Spirit | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked Luminosity | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luminosity | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Luminosity | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Luminosity | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Luminosity | 19c | 71.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Spirit | 76c | 65.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed Luminosity | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Luminosity | 24c | 61.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Luminosity | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Spirit | 79c | 43.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luminosity | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…4af9backed Spirit | 77c | 41.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Spirit | 76c | 38.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Spirit | 73c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 75c | 30.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked Spirit | 77c | 30.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Spirit | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Spirit | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Spirit | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 77c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Spirit | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Spirit | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.