College Football · resolved market
Spread: Marshall (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb73d9ba0febda19951c2c4dc0d9a4435605008b336e076a8bcd307168c9953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Marshall, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 12,663$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall | 50c | 7,138$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.25 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…fbcbbacked Marshall | 49c | 5,794$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…6b24backed Marshall | 49c | 3,406$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Marshall | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Marshall | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Marshall | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…cdb5backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 917$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…2d96backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 916$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…4691backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 911$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…163fbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 871$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…e405backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 867$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…25dfbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 842$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…8a51backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 833$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…5cfdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 817$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marshall | 50c | 811$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…dbd0backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 802$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…f26fbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 742$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…692abacked Marshall | 49c | 721$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…3823backed Marshall | 49c | 721$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…e2f4backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 657$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…7807backed Marshall | 49c | 633$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…ae2dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 624$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…3d39backed Marshall | 49c | 603$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Marshall | 51c | 553.66$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…fa42backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 552$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Marshall | 50c | 550.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.72 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…446dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 534$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…491bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 491$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Marshall | 52c | 257.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…0769backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 243$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marshall | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…ed81backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…4b2ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marshall | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marshall (-6.5)this page
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 53.5Over won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 55.5Over won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall (-5.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Marshall (-7.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.