College Football · resolved market
Spread: Marshall (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ee982feb83da9c50c5fa42badeff7750eae5d355b0fd6f4a7851a4bb4c3e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Marshall, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e52…f953backed Marshall | 49c | 1,451$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…634bbacked Marshall | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…a3b9backed Marshall | 49c | 1,101$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…a373backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…5ec1backed Marshall | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…bc3ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 751$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…011fbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…a23cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 603$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…23d9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 601$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…3e38backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 601$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…5185backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall | 55c | 247.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Marshall | 52c | 147.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…5432backed Marshall | 52c | 20.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marshall (-5.5)this page
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 53.5Over won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 55.5Over won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall (-6.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Marshall (-7.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.