College Football · resolved market
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 55.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2181615fda6f771557e604d923c9f9256a993183f2e557b113cc7a47951d16e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd883…163fbacked Over | 49c | 3,316$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…25dfbacked Under | 51c | 1,054$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…e2f4backed Under | 51c | 721$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 601.71$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…446dbacked Under | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Over | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…6b24backed Under | 51c | 451$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 46c | 297.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…ed81backed Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…0769backed Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 141.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…4b2ebacked Under | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 50c | 91.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 49c | 81.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Under | 51c | 77.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 49c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 55.5this page
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 53.5Over won
- Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall (-5.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Marshall (-6.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Marshall (-7.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.