Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc879b80dd478b460ed17ed1228a8d8b715885bdbbadcb0661f93eeed49754c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vici Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 31,381$10,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,965.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 13,895$8,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.3 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 65c | 13,802$8,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.7 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 7,286$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 65c | 5,897$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.93 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 5,556$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.39 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,267$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.39 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 4,250$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 4,020$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.19 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 3,855$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.35 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,000$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.89 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,666$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,584$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.4 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,300$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.4 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,224$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.43 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,158$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,153$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.55 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,058$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,750$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,750$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,685$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.51 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,646$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.37 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,645$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,594$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.45 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,560$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.62 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 1,453$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.4 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,450$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,430$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,319$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,309$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.56 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,279$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,276$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.77 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,242$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.7 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,242$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.01 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,076$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.86 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,064$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.64 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,035$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,001$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 977$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.95 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 959$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 936.88$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.01 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 875.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 66c | 848.34$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 826.09$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 825.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.55 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 787.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 775.03$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.45 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 757.66$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 749.54$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 710.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 65c | 699.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 651$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Falcons | 54c | 612$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 576$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Falcons | 64c | 561.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 534$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Falcons | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 495.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 468.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 465.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 453.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 68c | 442.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 406.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 65c | 405$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 73c | 368$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons | 71c | 351.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 351.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 349.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 335.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 331.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 312$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 299.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 276.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 271.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Falcons | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Falcons | 58c | 226.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 221.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 218.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 217.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 200.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.