Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6743371b3e89354dc925a0e054af756e8e56994942254e014d7a6e94da08c263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vici Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 34,364$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 70c | 10,276$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.37 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 8,000$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.53 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 67c | 7,916$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.25 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 6,981$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.6 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 68c | 6,474$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.21 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 6,116$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 70c | 6,000$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 5,413$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.42 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 5,300$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.54 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 3,383$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.73 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 3,087$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 2,819$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.78 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,687$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.13 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,221$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.6 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,133$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 2,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,957$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,932$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.86 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,905$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,782$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.07 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,768$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,500$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.13 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 1,346$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,325$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,246$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,242$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,192$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,178$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.96 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 1,168$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,010$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,006$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 997.5$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 996.4$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…13e8backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 979.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 911.93$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 63c | 865.38$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Falcons | 61c | 765.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.36 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Vici Gaming | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…a3d7backed Team Falcons | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 749.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 633.68$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons | 56c | 632$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 626.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 604.89$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 498.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 482.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…4032backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 469.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Vici Gaming | 7c | 439.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 406.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 375.78$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 353.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons | 72c | 346.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 319.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 311$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 297.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 297.56$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons | 67c | 297.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 296$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 286.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 283.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 279.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 273$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 270.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 246.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 236$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 225.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 201.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 199.85$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 61c | 184.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Falcons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 149.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 139.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 69c | 127.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 121.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 62c | 109.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 108.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 107.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 101.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…b2eebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.