TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Vici Gaming, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming20c32,719$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Team Falcons75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Vici Gaming22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9812630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming23c2,272$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6448539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Vici Gaming24c2,149$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.910735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons76c1,961$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming30c1,651$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons75c1,635$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.441,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons75c1,443$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9938142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons76c1,393$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.121,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming23c1,354$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons77c1,303$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.259754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons73c1,250$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons73c1,182$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.361,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Vici Gaming11c1,127$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6415549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons71c1,043$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.182,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons77c1,000$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons77c1,000$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.631,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Vici Gaming25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming25c978.56$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6430357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Vici Gaming25c923.03$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2537223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons77c846.04$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.057060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Vici Gaming24c840.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c18…9b0ebacked Vici Gaming23c834.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Vici Gaming25c809.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.910618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons74c792.23$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9841944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Vici Gaming23c778.26$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17926843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Team Falcons77c750$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Vici Gaming23c750$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons74c749.97$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9920767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming22c749$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Vici Gaming24c726.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.39341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons76c655.91$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4222363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons77c650$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.58469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Falcons78c642$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2414562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f6…1a99backed Team Falcons77c607.94$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.831163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Vici Gaming23c556.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Team Falcons78c501$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Team Falcons78c500.1$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0219643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Vici Gaming23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Vici Gaming24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons77c499.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons76c491.88$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons79c445.51$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.518959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Vici Gaming25c402$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.521043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Falcons78c395$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2468345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons79c352.72$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7220452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons77c351.33$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.271,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons78c351$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.981,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Vici Gaming24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b5…0ddabacked Team Falcons76c340$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons74c339.81$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.081,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming26c317.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.761,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming18c300.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons77c280$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons78c271.57$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7551364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons76c263$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1286451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Vici Gaming27c248$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1566947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons77c240$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x376f…5a0ebacked Team Falcons72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked Team Falcons76c201.32$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Vici Gaming26c192.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Vici Gaming25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2412054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming16c163.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7853139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bf…dd2dbacked Team Falcons80c162.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked Team Falcons75c160.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.365976.3%45 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Vici Gaming24c154.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.129432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Falcons76c144.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7438167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Falcons71c135.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9824343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Team Falcons75c133.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.436758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc68b…3c2dbacked Team Falcons76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b79…a5a8backed Team Falcons76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5811346%52 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d9…15e0backed Team Falcons78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2111958.8%70 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Team Falcons78c123.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.087466.2%49 W · 25 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Team Falcons76c115.2$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Team Falcons74c100.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.449853.1%52 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ec…23bdbacked Team Falcons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2338649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Team Falcons72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Vici Gaming10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Vici Gaming24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Team Falcons74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Vici Gaming11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Team Falcons75c98.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.556547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5396…6a3bbacked Team Falcons78c95.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.084057.5%23 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Vici Gaming26c91.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9258943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Vici Gaming29c88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.396266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Team Falcons78c80.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.733964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4640…f517backed Vici Gaming25c79.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Vici Gaming26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Team Falcons74c73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9819857.1%113 W · 85 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons76c72.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3751550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698d…00b0backed Vici Gaming20c70.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons77c67.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5916242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.