TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.339862.2%61 W · 37 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over50c5,000$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.122355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c3,674$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.0923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over47c3,530$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.11,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under53c3,410$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.51,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c2,640$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.591,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Over47c2,051$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over46c1,872$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.245851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.859253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c1,771$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.262,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c1,689$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.941,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over9c1,500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over47c1,418$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.3326155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under53c1,249$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2462451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c1,200$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.992,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under38c983.39$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.437948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under62c786.23$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8969741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under58c772.08$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.538640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under39c736.55$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2314228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28289050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under40c568.07$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.848844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e97…a1d1backed Over47c563.28$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+254.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over46c499.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9911344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c459.04$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.521,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over53c419.92$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.692927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over14c387.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.425648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under45c350$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19137950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under66c327.64$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8134151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over47c287.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over58c260.43$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.638342.2%35 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under51c258.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12816047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over61c249.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.498447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Over60c236.75$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210855.6%60 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over47c210.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over47c201.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.589441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over47c196.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.481,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over58c189.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11115536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1956949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f5…8acebacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over47c163.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under31c140.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.571,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under54c135.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2723946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ec…d3ccbacked Over31c128.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over46c117.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.116346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.119553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over47c103.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82040%8 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Over50c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over47c97.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.876338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515253.9%82 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under44c86.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9852750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c75.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0437343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Over35c69.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313639.7%54 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under39c65.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0435844.4%159 W · 199 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307367.1%49 W · 24 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562c…8597backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012048.3%58 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over40c56.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7340641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.713473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc030…b7e3backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over47c51.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.999953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0252…3122backed Over60c50.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.520239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Over59c42.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255058%29 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked Over47c36.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under38c34.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over40c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.451,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under75c31.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.992,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.640143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over39c28.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Over50c28.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.074355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over64c27.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3616150.9%82 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Over50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over71c26.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1622265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9e82backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Over79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6557772.3%417 W · 160 L-1.8wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.