TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Fnatic54c18,500$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,51024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Karmine Corp46c18,043$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,299.786643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic51c7,757$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.1251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Karmine Corp62c4,787$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9683450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic52c3,845$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.4194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp44c3,618$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.511,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic50c2,779$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.8465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Karmine Corp55c2,698$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.0826650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp53c2,611$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.8940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp49c2,567$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.221,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic54c2,347$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.8578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic51c1,744$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.5468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp52c1,742$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.928143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fnatic58c1,579$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fnatic49c1,141$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.91,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp41c1,101$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7440944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Fnatic33c898.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.072050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Fnatic55c861.5$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp40c796.97$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.391,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Karmine Corp66c739.69$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Fnatic42c722.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.442944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic47c720.92$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Karmine Corp54c670.27$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5738548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Fnatic55c542$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Fnatic57c512.3$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.297959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp42c505.46$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Karmine Corp61c495.31$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.061163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp51c449.09$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.781,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Karmine Corp57c442.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Karmine Corp52c381.41$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1975455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Karmine Corp41c375$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.547241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac70…97b6backed Fnatic53c369.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Karmine Corp42c365.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8412143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karmine Corp38c358$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fnatic42c353.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1123836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Fnatic70c350.57$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.544748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp49c328.35$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.711,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fnatic51c322$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6799846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Fnatic65c320$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Karmine Corp51c316.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3536138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fnatic47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15927145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Karmine Corp54c299.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fnatic43c298$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7631227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Fnatic54c284$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.684746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp19c283$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Fnatic48c282.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Karmine Corp48c262.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7924551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Fnatic75c258.17$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.953450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Karmine Corp38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Karmine Corp46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Karmine Corp49c224.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63f…b685backed Fnatic47c214.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Karmine Corp53c214.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7811738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Fnatic23c211.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.151250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Karmine Corp46c207.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.631145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Fnatic74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Fnatic54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9236145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Karmine Corp61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Karmine Corp52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Fnatic34c186.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.026930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec97…4d68backed Fnatic67c152.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Karmine Corp65c149.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6710548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp59c148.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9557151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fnatic54c138.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp49c118.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d20…5c21backed Fnatic57c116.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60b…04acbacked Fnatic77c114.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Karmine Corp52c102.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.161729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Karmine Corp25c101.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8460022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Fnatic69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp39c99.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp41c97.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.837448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Karmine Corp45c95.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp73c95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.151,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Fnatic53c94.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.536735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Fnatic55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9111042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic53c90.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Karmine Corp53c88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.648345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1603…ddb4backed Fnatic57c87.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Karmine Corp47c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5120138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Karmine Corp62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Fnatic34c68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0937545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…c19bbacked Karmine Corp57c66.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp19c66.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Fnatic41c65.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.031181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick48cpaid+56.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed Karmine Corp35c65.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fnatic54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.946347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Karmine Corp47c64.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic46c63.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8193049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Karmine Corp54c62.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7519945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp56c62.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.771,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Karmine Corp61c61.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.753863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Karmine Corp45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Fnatic50c59.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.435228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Karmine Corp51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307265.3%47 W · 25 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Fnatic35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Fnatic47c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.216251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fda…1407backed Fnatic75c55.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Karmine Corp39c55.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84450%22 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Fnatic54c55.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0520347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.