TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Fnatic60c20,852$12,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,560.6626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Karmine Corp71c1,994$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.817443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic29c1,806$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.451,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Fnatic59c1,697$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Fnatic34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011754.7%64 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp42c1,054$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3115038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp64c1,031$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp60c987.28$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5893248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Fnatic35c960.68$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Fnatic33c918$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.944047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Fnatic8c763.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.445532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Fnatic37c737$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.693342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp64c643.22$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.141,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Fnatic30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18232152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic26c591.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0860423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp66c523.8$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Karmine Corp44c511.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.717338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Fnatic68c508.84$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.454850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp37c506.93$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29542035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Fnatic42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022649.1%111 W · 115 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic58c489.47$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0863955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Fnatic46c429.21$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.998066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Fnatic36c416.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp73c390.41$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fnatic47c383.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5546746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic53c353.91$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.181,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp69c327.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4756551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Karmine Corp40c300$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4627850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Karmine Corp40c295.03$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.022454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63f…b685backed Fnatic35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp71c254.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Karmine Corp44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14013446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Karmine Corp42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic22c241.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5594361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fnatic35c222.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.911,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp65c201.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed Karmine Corp61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Fnatic56c193.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9151344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Karmine Corp42c185.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.711250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Karmine Corp57c184.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.215855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Karmine Corp72c176.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Fnatic30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fnatic38c166$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0823836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp54c160$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Fnatic58c151.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8836446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Fnatic8c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.534247.7%163 W · 179 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Karmine Corp77c132.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Fnatic47c126.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp41c125$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7528742.9%123 W · 164 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fnatic56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.228241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp59c117.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2365347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0381834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic39c107.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2793649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b387backed Fnatic62c104.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Karmine Corp63c101.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fnatic24c101$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5896945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Fnatic25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254738.3%18 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Fnatic45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Fnatic59c92.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.645056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp57c87.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fnatic32c87.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9531227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fnatic36c85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7291333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fnatic40c77.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Karmine Corp42c71.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp56c70.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7357550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Fnatic45c61.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5218647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp52c58.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.439350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked Fnatic58c58.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.697163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Fnatic56c54.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4212652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Karmine Corp41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.518254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Karmine Corp43c46.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0520547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fnatic64c46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4416963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Karmine Corp56c45.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.156648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fnatic36c44.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1142140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp57c42.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2970543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fnatic45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8451849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp60c37.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9978344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Fnatic47c35.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Karmine Corp44c34.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2426450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Fnatic56c34.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Fnatic56c31.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.523345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Fnatic43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…f197backed Karmine Corp49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34637%17 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Fnatic56c29.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.792544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Karmine Corp71c26.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.615967.8%40 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Karmine Corp63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.364755.3%26 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+37.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Fnatic60c24.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabee…6f81backed Karmine Corp73c20.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Fnatic56c20.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.332839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fnatic60c18.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1754542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fnatic58c18.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7234954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.