Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4db8f5831bdfd931a7b4db7d8406c02809fa6fd227c192242a53fd85d88df21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fnatic | 41c | 765.82$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Fnatic | 32c | 650.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 413.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 380.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Fnatic | 32c | 190.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Fnatic | 32c | 183.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 174.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fnatic | 29c | 126.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…eb16backed Fnatic | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…612cbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fnatic | 30c | 40.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Fnatic | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Fnatic | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…9390backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Fnatic | 28c | 35.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 34.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.