Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43dc30431313e101d24ed36814bb13a129090b3d3abca972231868ef4dd2929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PARIVISION, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 14,250$11,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.79 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 22c | 12,448$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.98 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 20c | 11,233$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,986.05 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 10,849$7,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,741.43 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PlayTime | 29c | 8,427$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.17 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 37c | 6,659$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed PARIVISION | 57c | 5,852$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 31c | 4,933$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.56 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 4,299$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.02 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 24c | 4,136$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.42 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 37c | 3,396$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.96 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION | 74c | 3,174$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 3,070$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.94 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PlayTime | 34c | 3,027$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.72 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,000$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.02 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 30c | 2,547$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.62 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 21c | 2,194$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.25 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PlayTime | 40c | 2,179$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,168$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed PlayTime | 31c | 2,106$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed PlayTime | 32c | 2,102$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.31 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 22c | 2,094$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PlayTime | 37c | 2,073$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.26 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 32c | 2,022$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,984$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.37 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,951$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.73 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 1,912$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.82 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PlayTime | 20c | 1,865$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.32 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,831$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,697$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.13 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,637$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.33 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 1,600$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.38 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,551$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.62 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,523$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.42 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 25c | 1,509$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.28 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,478$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.36 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 28c | 1,449$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PlayTime | 47c | 1,448$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.41 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,415$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.57 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,400$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.23 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 29c | 1,397$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,367$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,350$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,315$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.39 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed PlayTime | 60c | 1,273$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.55 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 72c | 1,250$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,244$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.85 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,200$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 31c | 1,130$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.56 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PlayTime | 21c | 1,128$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,090$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.47 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,023$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.65 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 58c | 833.17$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PlayTime | 49c | 808.24$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 43c | 757.43$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 28c | 749.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.15 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 45c | 717.08$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PARIVISION | 70c | 712.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 709.11$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PARIVISION | 43c | 700.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed PlayTime | 29c | 675.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PlayTime | 28c | 662$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.64 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PlayTime | 30c | 639.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.49 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 75c | 630$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed PARIVISION | 80c | 615.09$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PlayTime | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed PlayTime | 30c | 596.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PlayTime | 29c | 589.13$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 41c | 585.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 66c | 574.05$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PlayTime | 78c | 560.27$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 61c | 547.28$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 30c | 542.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.79 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 513.65$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.51 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 39c | 508.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 505.42$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed PlayTime | 30c | 500.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.23 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PlayTime | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed PARIVISION | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PlayTime | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PARIVISION | 13c | 471.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 41c | 469.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.17 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PlayTime | 34c | 447.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed PlayTime | 30c | 441.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 77c | 432.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed PARIVISION | 76c | 431.64$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 421.52$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION | 74c | 409.35$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked PlayTime | 63c | 395.81$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed PlayTime | 54c | 370.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 333.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 333$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.