Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4afaa83fc2642c92d42e648617ca7c1f4a473c54becbfa43050d5e7fb5ed4e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 26c | 8,931$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 49c | 6,553$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.48 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 5,957$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked PlayTime | 27c | 4,149$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.83 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,085$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 3,405$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed PARIVISION | 74c | 3,397$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 3,060$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,910$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.09 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 52c | 2,827$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 2,745$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 21c | 2,525$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 35c | 2,403$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.07 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 49c | 2,000$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.84 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 36c | 1,963$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed PlayTime | 33c | 1,630$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PlayTime | 24c | 1,191$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 1,077$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,038$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.04 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,010$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PlayTime | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.44 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 978.86$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 67c | 950$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 942$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked PlayTime | 43c | 922.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 46c | 897.96$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 73c | 865.99$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed PlayTime | 24c | 794$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked PlayTime | 25c | 789.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 25c | 781.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PARIVISION | 55c | 721.2$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.54 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed PlayTime | 27c | 719.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION | 55c | 709.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed PlayTime | 28c | 699.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 61c | 660.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 62c | 588.77$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 21c | 539.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 77c | 520.86$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 63c | 498$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 27c | 483.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 77c | 454.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PlayTime | 24c | 453.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 448.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION | 77c | 438.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PlayTime | 34c | 408.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PlayTime | 37c | 405.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed PlayTime | 27c | 402.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed PARIVISION | 78c | 378.32$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked PARIVISION | 45c | 350$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 21c | 346$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 340.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 76c | 327.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION | 56c | 321.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed PARIVISION | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed PlayTime | 24c | 297.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked PlayTime | 50c | 290.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed PARIVISION | 50c | 287.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked PlayTime | 26c | 282$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…0457backed PlayTime | 53c | 271$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION | 68c | 267.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked PlayTime | 14c | 266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PlayTime | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 74c | 230.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PlayTime | 16c | 216$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 34c | 214.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 68c | 205.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 204.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed PlayTime | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PlayTime | 14c | 188$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked PlayTime | 31c | 180.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 180.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 180.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b02…e0babacked PlayTime | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed PlayTime | 26c | 166.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed PlayTime | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 70c | 151.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed PlayTime | 24c | 142.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed PlayTime | 14c | 133$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed PlayTime | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PlayTime | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 96.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed PlayTime | 30c | 96.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 88.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed PlayTime | 25c | 86.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed PlayTime | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 34c | 76.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…9a66backed PARIVISION | 62c | 75.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.