Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f8e31fb0ea150265821b54d32bf0684a2469377b64a53d3d639492892058e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Trace Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26c5…8813backed TEC Esports | 79c | 3,892$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 24c | 2,099$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.63 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed TEC Esports | 49c | 944$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 18c | 643.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Trace Esports | 27c | 516.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 5c | 500.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 540 | 41.9%226 W · 314 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Trace Esports | 51c | 451$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Trace Esports | 38c | 250$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 21c | 225.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Trace Esports | 6c | 215$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Trace Esports | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Trace Esports | 36c | 148.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 853 | 38%324 W · 529 L | -52.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Trace Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Trace Esports | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,001 | 45.9%459 W · 542 L | -28.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked TEC Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed TEC Esports | 70c | 49.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked TEC Esports | 65c | 46.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked TEC Esports | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 281 | 61.2%172 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsTEC Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.