Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2994fba85b950bf77ea8d3bc73633e62c6b7cf48731dd1aee6108e242dda331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Trace Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TEC Esports | 62c | 5,735$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.53 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 33c | 2,395$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.53 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Trace Esports | 44c | 2,387$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.18 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c5…8813backed TEC Esports | 62c | 650.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Trace Esports | 36c | 466.18$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Trace Esports | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 18c | 158.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Trace Esports | 43c | 140.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Trace Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Trace Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Trace Esports | 38c | 77.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 49.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Trace Esports | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TEC Esports | 48c | 41.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Trace Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Trace Esports | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed TEC Esports | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Trace Esports | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Trace Esports | 47c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsTEC Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.