Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e68cb2c7ad959c8319572a5add824e8506a19de0fd9901a6a884c516480015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Trace Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TEC Esports | 47c | 3,331$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.38 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Trace Esports | 56c | 946.98$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.66 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked TEC Esports | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 298 | 33.2%99 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…4e30backed Trace Esports | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Trace Esports | 43c | 542.35$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Trace Esports | 54c | 507$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Trace Esports | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Trace Esports | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Trace Esports | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Trace Esports | 52c | 405.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…a656backed Trace Esports | 38c | 365.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 12c | 354.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 468 | 26.7%125 W · 343 L | -25.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Trace Esports | 55c | 335.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Trace Esports | 55c | 334.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked TEC Esports | 51c | 323.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Trace Esports | 46c | 288.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Trace Esports | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed TEC Esports | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed TEC Esports | 58c | 241.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed TEC Esports | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 40c | 233.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 1,428 | 51.2%731 W · 697 L | +48.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Trace Esports | 50c | 229.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed TEC Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Trace Esports | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Trace Esports | 46c | 218.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 339 | 46.3%157 W · 182 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TEC Esports | 58c | 211.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Trace Esports | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed TEC Esports | 71c | 194.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 24c | 193.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed TEC Esports | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Trace Esports | 55c | 172.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Trace Esports | 50c | 167.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trace Esports | 46c | 151.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Trace Esports | 18c | 149.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TEC Esports | 44c | 142.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 540 | 41.9%226 W · 314 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Trace Esports | 51c | 113.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TEC Esports | 66c | 111.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 943 | 49.5%467 W · 476 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed TEC Esports | 55c | 107.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed TEC Esports | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked TEC Esports | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 853 | 38%324 W · 529 L | -52.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed TEC Esports | 77c | 96.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports | 46c | 81.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 447 | 41.8%187 W · 260 L | -23.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked TEC Esports | 42c | 69.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TEC Esports | 49c | 63.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TEC Esports | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked TEC Esports | 45c | 53.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed TEC Esports | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Trace Esports | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed TEC Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed TEC Esports | 54c | 49.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed TEC Esports | 45c | 48.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…16cbbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 42.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Trace Esports | 56c | 42.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Trace Esports | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…6d2bbacked TEC Esports | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked TEC Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TEC Esports | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7107…7a54backed Trace Esports | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…66a7backed Trace Esports | 59c | 28.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Trace Esports | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed TEC Esports | 66c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Trace Esports | 48c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trace Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 677 | 50.4%341 W · 336 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.