Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e7ef46bf8daf40cd40796433e61844f421985d66fdace221adef69e6c1dae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 36,247$16,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,613.22 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 25,386$13,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,421.94 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 21,534$10,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,176.79 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 18,362$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.09 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 15,555$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.84 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 13,448$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 11,750$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 9,701$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.74 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 8,690$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.9 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 8,489$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 7,667$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 6,663$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.13 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 6,569$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.26 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 6,404$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,304$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.78 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,155$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.52 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 4,948$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 4,801$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.11 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,193$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.49 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 3,993$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.58 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,799$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.75 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,500$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.3 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 3,250$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,196$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.58 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,100$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.57 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,801$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,494$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.64 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,426$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,312$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,243$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.51 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,219$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.48 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,000$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.43 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,949$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.46 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,803$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,710$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.23 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,614$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.28 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,606$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.04 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,534$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.04 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,288$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,255$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.15 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,143$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.06 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,122$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.97 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,086$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 950.17$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 928.03$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 864.47$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 819.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 801.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 800$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.09 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 784.41$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.28 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 749.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 686.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 677.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 639.04$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 597.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.49 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 576.38$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 574$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.35 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 552.33$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 546.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 546.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 515.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 479.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 449.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 442.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 435.72$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 409.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 406$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 384$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 365.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 352.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 350.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 349.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 315.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 315$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.