Lol · resolved market
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Top Esports Challenger (BO1) - Asia Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4114565dc09efbeb9368215e17edc2aeef275f84562b09cd8e319705e234579b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esports Challengerof CTBC Flying Oyster Academy, Top Esports Challenger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 34c | 5,721$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.95 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Top Esports Challenger | 67c | 1,540$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Top Esports Challenger | 67c | 1,255$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.69 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 7c | 1,215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Top Esports Challenger | 75c | 984.04$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Top Esports Challenger | 67c | 939.98$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.86 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 62c | 567.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 3c | 503.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports Challenger | 58c | 473.42$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Top Esports Challenger | 62c | 340.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 33c | 213.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 72c | 208.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 14c | 147.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Top Esports Challenger | 71c | 115.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Top Esports Challenger | 73c | 82.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Top Esports Challenger | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 58c | 36.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Top Esports Challenger | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Top Esports Challenger | 64c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Top Esports Challenger | 62c | 22.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Top Esports Challenger | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.