Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c631cbd3ab45ef559d3f6364f646ecc7a7b80e8c4de8cba2e8e39d960711b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 63c | 22,524$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,324.43 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed REKONIX | 17c | 12,439$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.71 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 49c | 10,709$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 48c | 8,155$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.77 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 66c | 8,075$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.2 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed REKONIX | 47c | 5,947$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed REKONIX | 37c | 4,516$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.37 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 40c | 4,279$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 34c | 3,835$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.11 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed REKONIX | 46c | 3,694$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.75 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,611$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 42c | 3,607$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,197$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.3 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed REKONIX | 34c | 3,082$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.14 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PlayTime | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 49c | 2,845$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 47c | 2,783$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.94 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 42c | 2,606$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.33 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 43c | 2,572$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 67c | 2,407$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX | 44c | 1,984$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.38 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 55c | 1,800$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.04 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 1,727$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.4 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.04 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked REKONIX | 43c | 1,432$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.76 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 47c | 1,429$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.49 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,400$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.62 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked REKONIX | 51c | 1,307$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.7 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,288$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.77 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,275$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed REKONIX | 8c | 1,188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 6c | 1,150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed REKONIX | 34c | 1,050$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed REKONIX | 32c | 989.02$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 79c | 908$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PlayTime | 61c | 904.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.73 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked REKONIX | 36c | 803.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 60c | 773.26$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.26 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PlayTime | 73c | 749.97$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 67c | 743.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.28 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed REKONIX | 43c | 717.33$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 45c | 609.57$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked REKONIX | 32c | 601.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 37c | 583.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 6c | 551.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked REKONIX | 58c | 518.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 513.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 68c | 499.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 39c | 499.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 42c | 476.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…b4fabacked REKONIX | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 48c | 418.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.21 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 62c | 413.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked REKONIX | 33c | 397.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PlayTime | 54c | 372.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 33c | 352.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PlayTime | 70c | 323.48$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed REKONIX | 27c | 318$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 307.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…a334backed PlayTime | 71c | 303$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 42c | 288.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 33c | 272.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 57c | 264.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 42c | 264.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 255.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 59c | 254.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked PlayTime | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked REKONIX | 45c | 248.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 37c | 213.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed REKONIX | 48c | 209.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX | 37c | 190.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed PlayTime | 39c | 184.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked REKONIX | 32c | 184$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed REKONIX | 36c | 179.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 35c | 178$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PlayTime | 67c | 176.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 37c | 174.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PlayTime | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 52c | 168.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 42c | 167.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 41c | 167$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PlayTime | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 58c | 165$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked REKONIX | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REKONIX | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 67c | 131.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed PlayTime | 66c | 125.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 35c | 112.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed REKONIX | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 57c | 104.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 69c | 104.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…7658backed PlayTime | 67c | 101.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.