Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59821263eef3b84cd36e1df732caa36c7829758559bfa965895ade127f47e02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 6c | 12,575$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.15 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 67c | 5,944$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.03 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed REKONIX | 3c | 5,930$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 9c | 3,601$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 27c | 1,865$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,750$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PlayTime | 57c | 1,724$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.38 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed REKONIX | 32c | 1,712$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.77 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 67c | 1,597$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.01 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,300$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 26c | 1,247$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,245$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 31c | 1,147$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 67c | 1,066$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,054$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 73c | 905$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 8c | 813.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed REKONIX | 32c | 660$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 29c | 527.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 35c | 438.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 434.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked REKONIX | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 251.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 32c | 235.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed REKONIX | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked REKONIX | 30c | 181.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed REKONIX | 7c | 179.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 39c | 123.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked REKONIX | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 40c | 118.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 33c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 29c | 102.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked PlayTime | 67c | 89.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 21c | 70.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked REKONIX | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed REKONIX | 33c | 61.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PlayTime | 72c | 37.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed PlayTime | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 77c | 35.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed PlayTime | 67c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.