Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d9a75a8c981763c55f7a148d4ee82fad7e6089e4ddb890cf5b33e6a40953227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 2c | 1,579$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 632.18$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 77c | 550.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…d341backed No | 80c | 416.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 14c | 378.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 373.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 5c | 371$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 20c | 360.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 18c | 327$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 322.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 305.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 284.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 39c | 275.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 256.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 30c | 243.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…8533backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 16c | 196$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 15c | 194.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 80c | 183.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 181.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 156.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 15c | 152.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 11c | 148.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 75c | 147.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 17c | 139.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 17c | 137.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 136.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…a2a0backed Yes | 18c | 130.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 78c | 127.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 79c | 125.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 19c | 122.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 43c | 121$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 19c | 119$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 113.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 76c | 108.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 105.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 24c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 13c | 93.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…d364backed Yes | 22c | 92.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 22c | 89.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 15c | 87.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…d3edbacked Yes | 24c | 85.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 83.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 37c | 80.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…8f14backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 75.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 77c | 73.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 24c | 72.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 59c | 71.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…9096backed Yes | 16c | 67.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…7b6dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 72c | 64.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 79c | 63.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 77c | 60.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 21c | 54.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 19c | 52.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…0a70backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…cdc0backed Yes | 24c | 46.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 66c | 45.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 39c | 44.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 41c | 44.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 77c | 43.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 43.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 39c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Yes | 46c | 41.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 36.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 35.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…e100backed No | 76c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 29.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 71c | 25.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 79c | 19.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…0200backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…c843backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 76c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.