TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision22c38,530$8,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,295.211,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked MIBR76c23,281$17,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,597.8422468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR62c16,343$10,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,212.8233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Lynn Vision38c11,111$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.1715052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Lynn Vision32c11,067$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.7730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MIBR76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40021655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked MIBR61c9,999$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.5625655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed MIBR61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7301566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MIBR72c5,500$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.053,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lynn Vision3c4,787$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.785,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lynn Vision38c4,059$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.642,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR75c4,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Lynn Vision38c3,787$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5410550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Lynn Vision5c3,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.52575.3%3 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lynn Vision37c2,913$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.131,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lynn Vision27c2,876$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.542,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Lynn Vision38c2,843$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.1115648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lynn Vision36c2,778$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.775,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed MIBR59c2,731$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.337748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR60c2,694$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked MIBR79c2,199$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6513371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Lynn Vision43c2,187$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.7625248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Lynn Vision39c2,066$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81624233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffd…d27cbacked MIBR62c1,845$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.092055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Lynn Vision31c1,788$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.5461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Lynn Vision9c1,750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f90…2d93backed Lynn Vision2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Lynn Vision41c1,495$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0623243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Lynn Vision35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.012,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Lynn Vision46c1,348$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Lynn Vision24c1,335$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.471,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Lynn Vision38c1,320$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.628943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Lynn Vision8c1,292$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10746042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Lynn Vision30c1,289$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Lynn Vision35c1,250$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Lynn Vision23c1,228$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.441,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Lynn Vision25c1,193$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MIBR59c1,146$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.741,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Lynn Vision23c1,107$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65f…0c27backed Lynn Vision29c1,026$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a7…75e2backed MIBR61c1,010$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed MIBR61c1,010$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9417949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Lynn Vision42c1,004$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5137145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Lynn Vision40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Lynn Vision3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MIBR62c994.97$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ef…9cbabacked Lynn Vision38c950.17$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ae…16f8backed Lynn Vision25c917.83$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.92015%3 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Lynn Vision39c799.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Lynn Vision37c730.14$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.725142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision39c729.77$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.024,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Lynn Vision37c678.86$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.184639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Lynn Vision39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked Lynn Vision36c539.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.89757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Lynn Vision44c528$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3213844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked MIBR56c528$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.324544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed MIBR57c507.18$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1626650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lynn Vision43c463.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lynn Vision39c458.63$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8725355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MIBR60c456.36$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5475245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed Lynn Vision41c455.81$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.885253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked MIBR62c443.48$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.528151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed MIBR63c439$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7845646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked MIBR61c436.92$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.43860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MIBR77c431.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0646165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Lynn Vision23c421.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9719935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Lynn Vision10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed MIBR56c396.29$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Lynn Vision40c365$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14635745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR76c350$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked MIBR57c349.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed MIBR58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8312043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed MIBR58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8332662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked MIBR60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Lynn Vision38c333$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5438650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MIBR61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8727961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked MIBR63c326.35$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Lynn Vision43c325.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Lynn Vision28c320.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Lynn Vision11c319.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.31,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed MIBR62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Lynn Vision38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11435153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Lynn Vision6c299.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1938312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Lynn Vision4c299$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2921519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Lynn Vision19c287.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0326336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Lynn Vision23c280.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4119659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MIBR75c277.82$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.732,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked MIBR71c267.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6113765%89 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Lynn Vision38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Lynn Vision38c263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9410251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Lynn Vision39c259$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0153444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Lynn Vision38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed MIBR61c250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Lynn Vision39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Lynn Vision39c249.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4916741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Lynn Vision24c244.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Lynn Vision40c235$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Lynn Vision37c219.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.229148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked MIBR61c213.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1125554.5%139 W · 116 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Lynn Vision19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.