Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a6c7e4a905dfc13f23c44a8e41d0b96ad60569ef49869c46c237dfd8f3c003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,445,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,512,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,445,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 919 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 30c | 169,674$50,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,457.45 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 74c | 114,877$85,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,697.64 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 25c | 84,247$20,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,646.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 8c | 80,396$6,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 58c | 68,340$39,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,536.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 71c | 57,806$41,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,587.76 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 70c | 57,431$40,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,052.93 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 28c | 56,952$15,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,854.25 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 74c | 49,520$36,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,068.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 31c | 47,943$15,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,042.79 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 67c | 40,392$26,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,474.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 80c | 37,824$30,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,730.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 18c | 37,823$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.27 | 360 | 33.3%120 W · 240 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 18c | 36,338$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 38c | 34,228$13,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,091.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed No | 11c | 31,767$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 23c | 31,126$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.35 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 13c | 30,486$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.51 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed No | 32c | 30,048$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 27,095$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.8 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 80c | 26,447$21,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 67c | 25,814$17,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 21c | 25,222$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.84 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 76c | 23,276$17,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8671…d4b7backed No | 26c | 21,356$5,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 28c | 20,252$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.54 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 31c | 19,015$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.81 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…9b9ebacked Yes | 69c | 18,315$12,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,667.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 42c | 17,392$7,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,165.48 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 17,125$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.41 | 164 | 31.7%52 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 20c | 16,934$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 66c | 15,831$10,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 72c | 15,793$11,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.25 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 43c | 15,000$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 78c | 14,683$11,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 75c | 14,294$10,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 31c | 14,211$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.89 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 22c | 13,935$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.81 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 68c | 13,565$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 71c | 13,508$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.44 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 66c | 12,326$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 31c | 11,878$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 75c | 11,037$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8783backed Yes | 69c | 10,868$7,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed No | 1c | 10,788$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 12c | 10,115$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.01 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 78c | 9,982$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 33c | 9,594$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 9,351$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.37 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…a684backed Yes | 71c | 9,320$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…7aacbacked No | 32c | 9,136$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…baecbacked No | 60c | 9,000$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Yes | 65c | 8,888$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 71c | 8,828$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 22c | 8,372$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.83 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 65c | 8,230$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 68c | 8,229$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.62 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 21c | 8,017$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 73c | 8,000$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 37c | 7,587$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.04 | 159 | 25.8%41 W · 118 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 7,418$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.17 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 37c | 7,284$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 27c | 7,170$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.89 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 74c | 7,000$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 65c | 6,647$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 24c | 6,552$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.17 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…06a1backed No | 13c | 6,296$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 23c | 6,052$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.31 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…74bcbacked Yes | 70c | 6,000$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 70c | 6,000$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.07 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 5,963$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.48 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 28c | 5,857$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 39c | 5,719$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 26c | 5,707$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 9c | 5,587$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 34c | 5,451$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…d852backed Yes | 75c | 5,378$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed No | 30c | 5,270$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…8ba1backed Yes | 68c | 5,253$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f69abacked No | 36c | 5,187$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 23c | 5,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…4d41backed No | 50c | 4,934$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 24c | 4,872$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.76 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 3c | 4,808$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 1c | 4,807$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…373abacked Yes | 66c | 4,475$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 24c | 4,458$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 64c | 4,433$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.04 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed Yes | 70c | 4,310$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 67c | 4,305$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 13c | 4,232$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 29c | 4,230$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked Yes | 68c | 4,204$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 32c | 4,103$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?this page
- Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.