Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd8daeffb5fd1f0c2bedab6ff47b82a38dc191d93ae716bbe969a58837a0a85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 13c | 20,816$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.09 | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 54c | 11,612$6,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.28 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 60c | 9,308$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.62 | 368 | 34.2%126 W · 242 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 7,151$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.89 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 8c | 5,226$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 30c | 4,881$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.05 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,835$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.22 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,755$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.34 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 17c | 3,740$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 3,396$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.69 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,289$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.18 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 29c | 2,554$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 45c | 2,239$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.74 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 2,187$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…4fa7backed Yes | 42c | 2,079$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 74c | 1,815$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.07 | 255 | 36.5%93 W · 162 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed Yes | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 29c | 1,400$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,320$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 17c | 1,300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,226$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.32 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…b936backed Yes | 10c | 1,142$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 10c | 1,072$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 10c | 1,037$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 17c | 1,024$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.94 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…790cbacked Yes | 62c | 993.69$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 9c | 990.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…c235backed Yes | 33c | 975$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 916.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 35c | 895$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 9c | 886.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…11bcbacked Yes | 14c | 779.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 759.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 543 | 12%65 W · 478 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 14c | 755.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 68c | 730.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 25c | 730.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Yes | 21c | 702.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 63c | 694.07$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 46c | 687$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 680.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…357cbacked Yes | 29c | 669.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 16c | 574.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 16c | 552.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 519.72$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 354 | 34.7%123 W · 231 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 506.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 204 | 4.9%10 W · 194 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 30c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 67c | 499.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 16c | 477.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -91%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…3b70backed No | 66c | 437$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 24c | 408.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…cd00backed Yes | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b6c4backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 14c | 366.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 15c | 347$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 42c | 312.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2688backed Yes | 46c | 309.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 8c | 299.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 37c | 294.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +11.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 37c | 285.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 69c | 285$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 44c | 251$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 33c | 244$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 240$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…5aecbacked Yes | 31c | 240$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 16c | 233.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 22c | 230.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 14c | 227.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 214 | 31.3%67 W · 147 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed Yes | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked Yes | 8c | 222.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 216$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 62c | 209.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 205.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…1473backed Yes | 66c | 204.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…6d8dbacked Yes | 46c | 201.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…1a88backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 39c | 196.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed No | 77c | 186.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…3d45backed Yes | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 13c | 152.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 79c | 151.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…3fcebacked Yes | 67c | 150.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…0306backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 34c | 121.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 116.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 490 | 36.7%180 W · 310 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 21c | 114.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?this page
- Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes won
- Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.