Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70831611831c0792bfb971d613ec2db2e06d59a234967b45f8302b3671b515cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,322,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,240,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,322,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 29c | 99,151$28,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,746.05 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 64c | 70,851$45,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,223.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 71c | 50,113$35,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,451.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 76c | 34,000$25,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 31c | 33,000$10,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 21c | 32,872$6,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.35 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 34c | 31,000$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,639.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 11c | 28,750$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.23 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 24,943$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.18 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 34c | 21,337$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.03 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 9c | 20,832$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 20,437$15,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.96 | 346 | 34.7%120 W · 226 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f69abacked Yes | 35c | 18,702$6,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 18,514$13,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.09 | 164 | 31.7%52 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…8ba1backed Yes | 36c | 17,589$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 36c | 14,948$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 26c | 14,431$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.77 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 72c | 14,127$10,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.13 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Yes | 10c | 13,620$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…266cbacked Yes | 22c | 12,519$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 79c | 12,454$9,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.06 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 12,219$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.23 | 159 | 25.8%41 W · 118 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 73c | 12,063$8,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 35c | 11,488$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 34c | 10,911$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.37 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 10,450$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.5 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 67c | 10,258$6,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…bbf7backed Yes | 26c | 9,778$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 9,562$7,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.5 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 39c | 8,345$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 32c | 8,152$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 7,833$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.21 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 14c | 7,676$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 32c | 7,085$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.93 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +19.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…9b9ebacked No | 78c | 6,750$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 35c | 6,460$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked No | 61c | 6,327$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…5db9backed Yes | 24c | 6,324$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 31c | 5,910$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 37c | 5,889$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 72c | 5,839$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 34c | 5,796$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 5,716$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.71 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0160backed No | 76c | 5,500$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 23c | 5,133$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.24 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 67c | 5,000$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 32c | 4,911$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.28 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 29c | 4,646$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 78c | 4,470$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 28c | 4,361$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.35 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 71c | 4,317$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 12c | 4,085$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 29c | 3,820$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.08 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 67c | 3,816$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 29c | 3,655$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.81 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 36c | 3,640$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 3,547$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.42 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…74bcbacked No | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 69c | 3,441$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 38c | 3,323$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 78c | 3,201$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…7aacbacked Yes | 32c | 3,036$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 8c | 3,010$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 69c | 2,963$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Yes | 35c | 2,959$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 23c | 2,952$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 34c | 2,952$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…6208backed Yes | 6c | 2,900$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 2,859$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 77c | 2,732$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed Yes | 16c | 2,709$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…7904backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked Yes | 44c | 2,629$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 77c | 2,571$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,563$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 79c | 2,558$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…12dfbacked No | 79c | 2,525$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed Yes | 21c | 2,524$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 74c | 2,510$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 2,474$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.21 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 11c | 2,402$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8783backed Yes | 26c | 2,355$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,309$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 2,307$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.05 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 2,290$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.39 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 74c | 2,240$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Yes | 14c | 2,200$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 2,194$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.73 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 2,157$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 76c | 2,143$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed Yes | 27c | 2,122$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 26c | 2,094$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 2,018$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?this page
- Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes won
- Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.