Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f95e1a6dff5235a76eb68b45555536b0d85fa966212f67f8b5d32e6bdd4205a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 73c | 6,439$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 23c | 4,348$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.16 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 3,382$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,689$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.65 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…ff5ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,142$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 24c | 1,110$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 25c | 1,053$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 28c | 1,018$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 24c | 989.61$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 923.18$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 12c | 869.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 30c | 838.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 80c | 758.27$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 23c | 708.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 581.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 30c | 506.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 499.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 483.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 25c | 476.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 75c | 411.8$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…ae0bbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 72c | 279.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed No | 28c | 278.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 266.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 27c | 265.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 264.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 77c | 261.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…b4c3backed Yes | 77c | 232.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…9c22backed Yes | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 30c | 159.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 14c | 153$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…2581backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…ce17backed Yes | 72c | 142.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 29c | 126.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…507abacked Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8e…664abacked Yes | 78c | 80.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…c6c5backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…de44backed Yes | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…0ea2backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 73c | 65.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 29c | 51.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 50.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…c8e1backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 27c | 40.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2c18backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…982ebacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…c54fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…0ebebacked Yes | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a0…53d3backed Yes | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 71c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…e576backed Yes | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to win the second half?this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Second half draw?No won
- Uzbekistan to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.