World Politics · resolved market
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5998f9544f9d0cb8f38a7c027cc535567653dba131fd73925d27a1923e2083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 9c | 56,641$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.97 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 11c | 15,294$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 13,932$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 5c | 9,613$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.58 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 12c | 8,658$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.05 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 9c | 4,961$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 11c | 3,662$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 16c | 3,594$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.39 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 9c | 3,505$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.78 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 12c | 2,980$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…ab5ebacked No | 2c | 1,909$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked No | 2c | 1,900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…7cc4backed No | 9c | 1,721$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed No | 19c | 1,647$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 1,644$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 12c | 1,570$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…3507backed No | 4c | 1,555$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked No | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 17c | 1,200$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 7c | 1,115$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 5c | 1,110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 17c | 1,013$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 17c | 887$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 8c | 839.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 14c | 796$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 80c | 719.67$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 2c | 669.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 16c | 641.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 639.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked Yes | 79c | 636.91$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 617$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 18c | 531.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 74c | 500$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…1f3ebacked No | 3c | 443.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 390$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…d77cbacked Yes | 79c | 389.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed No | 18c | 369.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 14c | 343.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 341.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 39c | 325.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 17c | 317.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 16c | 295.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…046bbacked Yes | 75c | 266.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11aa…7e7ebacked Yes | 69c | 231$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…fb3dbacked No | 30c | 219.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 15c | 218.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 7c | 213.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 7c | 212$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 6c | 202.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 7c | 202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 9c | 184.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 21c | 169.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…43f9backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…2545backed No | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 8c | 133.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…55d1backed No | 13c | 123.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 110.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed No | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed No | 19c | 107$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e70…c53ebacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 26c | 93.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b2e0backed Yes | 76c | 91.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed No | 30c | 88.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 15c | 72.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6960…b9d4backed No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…d1cebacked No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 30c | 52.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…dc66backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…a08cbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?this page
- Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Hannah Spencer win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Kate Green win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Nick Buckley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.