Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49685b3512fe2a4e082f950a64c4fef49df9bed56c8dd08e184b45203c3d0dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 11c | 22,730$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.34 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 12c | 10,706$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.84 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 10c | 8,827$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.09 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 10c | 4,242$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 3,282$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 12c | 3,204$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.45 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 12c | 3,060$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.21 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 2,185$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 2,150$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 1,439$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 12c | 1,265$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 11c | 1,184$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 5c | 799.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 9c | 729.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 11c | 622$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 9c | 493$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 14c | 493$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 474.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 14c | 433$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed No | 12c | 403$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 11c | 390$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 12c | 377$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 10c | 367.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 7c | 315.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 12c | 299.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 11c | 255$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 15c | 237$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 77c | 224$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 8c | 199.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 12c | 168.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 12c | 131.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 13c | 130.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed No | 12c | 128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 14c | 122.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 14c | 94.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 11c | 94.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Yes | 76c | 87.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 13c | 87.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Yes | 70c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yes | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.