AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x070aadbfe09fd159994516c4e7e61d18d25622dd92f4b87d715824ef33cd2eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 56c | 4,114$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.61 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,705$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 21c | 3,684$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.47 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 71c | 2,993$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.11 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 2,839$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.23 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 2,148$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.92 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed No | 14c | 2,090$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a52…d74cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,848$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,614$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.54 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 8c | 1,575$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed Yes | 70c | 1,434$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,388$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Yes | 64c | 1,384$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 1,373$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 1,362$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.77 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 61c | 1,289$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.63 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 4c | 1,285$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 64c | 1,273$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.57 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…12e8backed Yes | 69c | 1,253$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed No | 63c | 1,193$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.89 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,169$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 14c | 1,160$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…3aafbacked Yes | 42c | 1,139$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 25c | 1,089$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 894.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 841.04$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 837.41$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 75c | 745.24$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 24c | 708.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 22c | 708.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.25 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…df2ebacked Yes | 67c | 707$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 671.63$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 75c | 664.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 43c | 655.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…84d7backed Yes | 28c | 641.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…53a2backed Yes | 66c | 633.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 27c | 628.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 59c | 593.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 587.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…c3f6backed Yes | 69c | 583.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 49c | 558.73$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 548.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 41c | 542$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 21c | 518.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 58c | 517.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 35c | 487.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 447.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 36c | 406.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 30c | 362.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 61c | 361.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…0424backed Yes | 50c | 360.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 360.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 63c | 356.16$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 39c | 353.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 68c | 350$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 71c | 332.36$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 39c | 330$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 319.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 62c | 304$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…978ebacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 28c | 296.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 72c | 292$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 68c | 288.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 27c | 275.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 270.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…0274backed Yes | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…a81ebacked Yes | 64c | 256.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…df24backed Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…582bbacked Yes | 75c | 245.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 8c | 235$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 72c | 209.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 34c | 205.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…b90abacked Yes | 53c | 205$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 201.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…70febacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…bf95backed Yes | 51c | 197.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 22c | 186.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 186.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 65c | 184.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…f864backed Yes | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 175.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 56c | 175.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…f943backed Yes | 63c | 159.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…38d5backed Yes | 72c | 156.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 15c | 153.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 70c | 149.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 146.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…19a1backed Yes | 68c | 146$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…9ddabacked No | 23c | 143.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…32b0backed Yes | 67c | 143$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5c30backed Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.