AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae8cd69a861a7442b7e46d2d7e29b66c826ae36fb52e4e30fc49c2adccb73cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 21c | 12,490$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.63 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 49c | 7,527$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.24 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…3aafbacked Yes | 8c | 7,170$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,824$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 3,452$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 3,068$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.76 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 23c | 2,349$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.9 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked No | 75c | 1,711$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 1,661$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a52…d74cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,583$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 1,545$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.15 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 25c | 1,377$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,266$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 66c | 1,264$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 11c | 922.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 69c | 817.57$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 804.93$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 797$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 790.78$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 790.64$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 38c | 789$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 779.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 53c | 740.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 36c | 709.63$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 35c | 707.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.69 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 667.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 24c | 563.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked Yes | 13c | 555.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 521.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 9c | 505.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 495.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 41c | 471.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bc…a8ccbacked Yes | 3c | 447.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 408.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 400.04$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 43c | 393$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 28c | 382.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 375$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 372.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 368.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 74c | 365.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 360.8$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 353.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 334.17$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed Yes | 54c | 327.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 270.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 44c | 249.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 38c | 241.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed Yes | 58c | 230.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…7fe7backed Yes | 66c | 226.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 72c | 225$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…787cbacked No | 38c | 224.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed No | 67c | 222.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 74c | 220.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 15c | 210.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…46c5backed Yes | 30c | 201.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…b3a4backed No | 50c | 198.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…0e10backed Yes | 50c | 198.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 197.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb55…b7d5backed Yes | 50c | 196.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…14edbacked No | 50c | 196.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 52c | 186.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 70c | 177$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 65c | 167$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 165$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 146.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 65c | 136.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 61c | 136.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…c15fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 121.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 27c | 121.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…38d5backed No | 73c | 119.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 80c | 118.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 77c | 117.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 59c | 114.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 114$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 112.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 74c | 111.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 102.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 41c | 100.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 27c | 99.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 97.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 31c | 96.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…978ebacked No | 38c | 94.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked No | 38c | 94.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 34c | 86.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.