Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352a366f9be5dc64668c549ef9bf2042fa85ccc1c5a3bd931ccad209c6ca1055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 49c | 1,221$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.45 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 65c | 873.43$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.32 | 155 | 27.7%43 W · 112 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Yes | 67c | 596.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 23c | 489.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 421.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 361.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.17 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 57c | 320$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 42c | 311.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 43c | 310.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 275.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 43c | 205.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 205.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 190.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 188.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 56c | 182.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…ed72backed Yes | 42c | 156$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 36c | 137.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 129.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 13c | 128.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 73c | 115.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 113.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 35c | 104.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 47c | 95.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 58c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 57c | 81.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 46c | 74.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 55c | 71.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 55c | 64.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 39c | 62.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 61.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 61.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 77c | 57.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…b854backed Yes | 57c | 56.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 51.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 49.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 60c | 44.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 46c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 36c | 42.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 40c | 42.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 41.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…ac1abacked No | 33c | 39.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 72c | 38.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 29c | 38.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…4dbfbacked No | 38c | 37.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 44c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 58c | 36.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…5cecbacked Yes | 63c | 30.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 61c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 46c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 53c | 22.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4937…fbd0backed No | 55c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…9a6dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 75c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…1bf2backed Yes | 64c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…ccb4backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.