TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes45c1,240$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes76c632.99$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.214047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed No46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes43c494.47$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes61c474.73$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed Yes10c468.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Yes32c453.76$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.37650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes17c347.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.182828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes19c320.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.413842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed No65c299.79$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.351353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes34c264.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.264100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+238.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed Yes61c262.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.32030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c240.13$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa986…3dfdbacked Yes40c234.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…6130backed Yes17c230$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+71.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes73c229.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3316…1bc4backed Yes36c208.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…4253backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes42c170.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.151450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ed…e878backed Yes31c170.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes30c156.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.253766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f9…677fbacked Yes33c150$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb1…8bfbbacked Yes43c139.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c2…d895backed Yes55c137.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b8…fd20backed Yes48c103.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes65c103.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed Yes54c102.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921650%8 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c80…f971backed No40c100.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c7…6febbacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa485…7b85backed Yes32c93.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…5c03backed Yes77c92.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes32c92.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ddd…82b3backed No31c91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes69c79.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6524720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No33c74.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…7e2fbacked Yes70c74.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No65c68.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.633336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…2b4ebacked Yes29c65.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes27c64.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5514429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes63c64.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+190.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No54c61.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick64cpaid-78.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes24c56.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.437233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…a6fbbacked Yes45c55.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No36c55.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.734353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c2…9bf1backed Yes37c53.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf977…d2b0backed No20c52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes27c51.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+88%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4f…f3c6backed No22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…d109backed No29c49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…11dabacked Yes32c48.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2c…aa97backed No29c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9c…a48fbacked Yes54c46.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cba…4f5fbacked No29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cad…0a3cbacked No29c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…060fbacked Yes47c42.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2237…916ebacked No29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…ddd4backed No29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes25c41.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4d…3ea4backed No29c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5a…d95fbacked No29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…bec6backed No77c39.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d9…33bbbacked No52c38.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde0…d7a0backed No30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No29c35.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afc…b6b4backed Yes69c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4122…5c11backed Yes50c32.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28cd…c224backed Yes69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd992…96c0backed Yes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1401…0707backed No46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…ffcfbacked Yes69c29.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cc…9b43backed Yes53c28.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4f…cbdebacked Yes80c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…242bbacked Yes79c25.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.433100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5110…4ab5backed Yes69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1952…5a39backed Yes78c24.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…f42cbacked Yes80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1d…7733backed Yes69c23.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ab7backed Yes77c20.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a70…2e11backed Yes71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b77…b33abacked Yes71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53db…1cb5backed Yes71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9aa…f496backed Yes71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…65b0backed Yes71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a94…454ebacked Yes71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…e9ebbacked Yes71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe63…bd22backed Yes71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c29…a5acbacked Yes71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf7…333fbacked Yes71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f5…e249backed Yes71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd309…339bbacked Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc421…724cbacked Yes78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6740…a113backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a1…3969backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c08…a85abacked Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe120…6914backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea8…1c56backed Yes76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa06…5e04backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f32…cebfbacked Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.