F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9406cb28fab16d0e725ca9c94cda71c9ccef6073d53b7376ad175ad59f293fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcabc…19b1backed Yes | 24c | 2,440$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…2f52backed Yes | 27c | 1,164$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…06afbacked Yes | 36c | 819.19$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 76c | 280.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 71c | 217.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…f3febacked Yes | 25c | 202.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 181.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 76c | 83.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…289ebacked Yes | 36c | 82.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 38c | 63.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…c10cbacked Yes | 28c | 62.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…accebacked Yes | 20c | 53.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed No | 70c | 44.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…8f7ebacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Yes won
- Will any other driver finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.