Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86bffc04522918f426a8f7c59712accdff01d1ff9d65100db8755c13ca09b0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x227e…e118backed Yes | 77c | 13,056$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 45c | 3,042$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 27c | 1,393$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 716$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 70c | 714.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 52c | 674.22$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 75c | 436.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 50c | 390.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 69c | 323.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 32c | 300.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed Yes | 71c | 287.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 31c | 276.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 237.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 63c | 230$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 25c | 201.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…cca1backed Yes | 25c | 201.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +302.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 197.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 28c | 191.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 69c | 173.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 35c | 144.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed No | 34c | 119.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…ac8dbacked No | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 31c | 101.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 82.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…f29abacked Yes | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…b250backed Yes | 73c | 68.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 65c | 65.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…e9b0backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…59b1backed Yes | 65c | 63.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 33c | 61.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 33c | 59.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…5937backed Yes | 67c | 57.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 76c | 47.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…b6f2backed Yes | 44c | 45.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 27c | 39.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 37.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…53acbacked Yes | 68c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 69c | 32.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6433…967fbacked Yes | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 55c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Yes | 66c | 20.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?this page
- Will Austin FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Nashville SC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will San Diego FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.