Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf84b087712b034fc20b72ea2f410031b09dbedad7db1e13b1aa88a2d76c3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c5f…b5bbbacked Yes | 28c | 13,658$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 75c | 8,656$6,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd24…22f3backed Yes | 27c | 8,458$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed No | 78c | 4,759$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 4,752$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.82 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…3ab1backed Yes | 24c | 4,317$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Yes | 23c | 3,750$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 74c | 3,276$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,662$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…dea8backed Yes | 13c | 2,624$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 79c | 2,096$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.46 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 2,076$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.81 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 71c | 2,054$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 29c | 1,746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed Yes | 23c | 1,710$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…d493backed Yes | 26c | 1,702$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 16c | 1,553$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a1…35edbacked Yes | 23c | 1,536$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,530$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,184$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…81b7backed Yes | 21c | 1,164$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 1,161$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.34 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 1,021$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 999.99$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 75c | 975.25$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 77c | 973.36$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 17c | 926.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…eee7backed Yes | 20c | 924.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 74c | 921.63$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 838.27$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed No | 78c | 790.5$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 726$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 80c | 704.6$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 20c | 699.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 694.94$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…4345backed No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Yes | 24c | 653.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 71c | 644$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…d9e8backed Yes | 21c | 600.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…fe4fbacked Yes | 24c | 592.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 60c | 509.69$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 67c | 507.9$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…cf7bbacked Yes | 20c | 505.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 80c | 504.03$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 489.35$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 78c | 485$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 482.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 29c | 419.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed No | 76c | 415.38$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 72c | 407.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…18bbbacked Yes | 24c | 393.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 392.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 74c | 369.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 337.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 77c | 322.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 322$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 60c | 281.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 278.82$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 18c | 257.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked No | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 78c | 225.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 22c | 220$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 58c | 219.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…c857backed Yes | 23c | 214.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…8051backed Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 203.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 201.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…d943backed Yes | 23c | 195.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 69c | 191.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Yes | 21c | 190.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 184$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2161…a6bbbacked Yes | 19c | 179.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…ba6abacked Yes | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…54a3backed Yes | 24c | 169.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…207dbacked Yes | 28c | 164.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 14c | 154.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 146$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39bf…bda8backed Yes | 21c | 144.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 132$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…a4e5backed No | 73c | 127.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 75c | 123.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked No | 75c | 119.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 116.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed No | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 19c | 102.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?this page
- Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes won
- Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.