Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6273bbe7069f0216c6e19435a45798053d2cbbbec2085b8b4d1e8831b12a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 14,315$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.18 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 10c | 6,800$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 4,826$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.52 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 77c | 4,067$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.61 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 25c | 3,274$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 57c | 3,116$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 2,034$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.46 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 18c | 2,007$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…3b24backed No | 26c | 1,967$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked No | 24c | 1,658$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 21c | 1,600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 77c | 1,497$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 23c | 1,447$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…5820backed Yes | 78c | 1,296$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 1,162$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.06 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 61c | 1,073$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.19 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 1,024$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 25c | 978.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 16c | 969.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 871$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 77c | 865.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 28c | 838.27$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.49 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 21c | 778.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed No | 20c | 700$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 24c | 697.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 72c | 693.46$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 22c | 661.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 642.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 41c | 561$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 22c | 526.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 20c | 522.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed Yes | 77c | 516.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 26c | 506.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 77c | 499.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked Yes | 78c | 438.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 402.8$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 30c | 399.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 74c | 375$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 374.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 26c | 369.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 16c | 354.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 75c | 341$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 26c | 339$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 322$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 78c | 311.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 38c | 306.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…8e37backed No | 43c | 298.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 25c | 293.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 20c | 290.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 76c | 290$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 27c | 263$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ef…0cd8backed Yes | 77c | 258.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 16c | 223$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 23c | 199.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 181.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 179$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 28c | 173.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Yes | 62c | 171.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 77c | 157.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 22c | 144.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 33c | 143.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 141$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…4b4fbacked Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 31c | 139$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 125.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 28c | 124.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 124$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 30c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 112.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 111.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 45c | 108.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 74c | 101.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…9bc6backed Yes | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 22c | 99.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 78c | 95.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 75c | 90.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?this page
- Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No won
- Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.