Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa58c9d36512b1361989bc0c0bf2062ef67ef2f29d1b12a9bad6c28f0e3aa602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 15c | 1,256$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.48 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 699.99$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes | 40c | 657$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…5fe1backed Yes | 57c | 330.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 326.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 52c | 277.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 35c | 261.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…fd72backed Yes | 23c | 260.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 58c | 234.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 53c | 217$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…4c03backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.64per pick | 16cpaid | +378.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bb…a227backed Yes | 45c | 177.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 150.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 23c | 142.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…5403backed Yes | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…bb55backed Yes | 23c | 118.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 71.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 70c | 67.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…13b6backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 53.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30e…1a5dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…a70ebacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 48.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 41c | 47.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…3fa6backed No | 77c | 46.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 58c | 41.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 41c | 38.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 44c | 33.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 43c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 43c | 28.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…5234backed Yes | 38c | 27.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…4629backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 67c | 22.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 53c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 63c | 20.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…3e2bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…8262backed No | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 15.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?this page
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?No won
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No won
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?No won
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.