TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Macro Indicators · resolved market

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8371…5f47backed Yes59c816.26$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa285…0f24backed Yes52c798.63$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes40c768.9$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.47135.2%25 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes42c525.17$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.531225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked Yes50c453$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.36450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+337.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No52c441.69$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.512937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc3…f81dbacked No63c431.79$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…dab0backed Yes45c343.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4950%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No50c275$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.73663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No43c266.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.974360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No43c262$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.693661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+182.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes18c253.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No49c234.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No57c227.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.492850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No68c211$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1220242.1%85 W · 117 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes63c205$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298528.2%24 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No54c202.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3710836.1%39 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419931.7%63 W · 136 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bb…a227backed No48c193.88$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No48c191.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.233857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5c…fd72backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+168.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes25c159$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No67c150.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.871553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ed…0ce8backed No55c143$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec7…a19bbacked Yes70c141.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No28c120.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.492766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443c…5fe1backed Yes56c117$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3872…bb1dbacked No46c104.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+136.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Yes53c103.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…6b54backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No40c88.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1815148.3%73 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No51c85.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6230918.1%56 W · 253 L-29.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed No51c78.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x926c…5234backed Yes57c71.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815a…af37backed No46c71.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+65.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c11…c35abacked Yes43c69.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No53c67.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No36c64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No44c63.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.462972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc50c…3017backed No46c63.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…6413backed Yes54c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No34c57.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46cc…3097backed No50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c90…17efbacked Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89cc…9e01backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No45c49.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7629913.7%41 W · 258 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes60c49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No40c46.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No41c46.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc685…0e9fbacked Yes68c44.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No52c40.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+271.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…5e97backed Yes63c39.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565a…cbe3backed Yes50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No52c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed No58c26.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8311359.3%67 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.922176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes60c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No54c21.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4199…b1c3backed No54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734b…2a2cbacked No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d58…462dbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2141…13b6backed Yes52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32ea…c2b4backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…3eebbacked Yes72c17.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.