Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x398fbf4c3d5d7543c117f4c6419097dfcf50b113d6ac96efcffba0cd332ec334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 67c | 3,777$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.84 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 2,790$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.7 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,050$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,831$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,236$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 792.31$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 770.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 589.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 299.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 62c | 229.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 183$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 63c | 167.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked No | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…2c4abacked No | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 109.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 84.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 35c | 80.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 37c | 72.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 72.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 69.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 65.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 61.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 57.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 61c | 55.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 68c | 48.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 36c | 44.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 35.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 35.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 39c | 31.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.