Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5e605c38a3af3b235c5d692297af10222bf28f7b883408ab3b924b99034f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 33c | 7,476$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 3,605$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.7 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 65c | 2,480$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.99 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6de1backed Yes | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 591.17$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 490.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 64c | 474.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 34c | 300.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 65c | 192.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 64c | 149.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 119.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Yes | 33c | 116.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 111.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 100.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,471 | 37.8%556 W · 915 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 80.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 64.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 61.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 792 | 50.1%397 W · 395 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 35c | 61.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed Yes | 19c | 57.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…c5d2backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 29c | 50.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 415 | 52%216 W · 199 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 69c | 44.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 43.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 72c | 40.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 33c | 40.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 33c | 30.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 28.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.