Us Midterms · resolved market
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96da5abcee7001608210ce3ab55e19c72cf60789f2254fd57c6b95ff35722b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 51c | 8,509$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,486$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.03 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 47c | 2,200$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 35c | 1,919$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.89 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,907$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,761$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.31 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…369cbacked No | 57c | 1,169$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 11c | 981.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 942.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 880.72$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.19 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 63c | 735.51$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 47c | 729$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 69c | 590.87$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 46c | 585.81$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 43c | 493$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 74c | 483.12$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…48babacked Yes | 71c | 452$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 32c | 428.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 43c | 393.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…9077backed Yes | 4c | 331.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 59c | 261$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 220$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 56c | 217.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 211.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 41c | 207.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c24…ae45backed Yes | 6c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 12c | 173.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 77c | 168.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 13c | 158.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 17c | 153.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 26c | 106.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 102.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 12c | 88.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 76.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 18c | 62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…bca8backed No | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 33c | 54.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 46c | 47.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…4602backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 43c | 36.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 49c | 33.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…c917backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 63c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…7ff9backed Yes | 64c | 20.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…f5dbbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?this page
- Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?Yes won
- Will between 50-54 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 65-69 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 70-74 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 75-79 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 80-84 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 85-89 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will between 90-94 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
- Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.