Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d1b9c496cb263b56e3cc6b7b7c54f433a3bedb23e61ddcc52f7f9c77ef003c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 36c | 5,723$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 17c | 1,211$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 72c | 1,053$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 65c | 1,007$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 26c | 772.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 15c | 764$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 757.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 667.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed Yes | 46c | 608$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 39c | 594.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 507$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 497.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 18c | 494.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 68c | 492.75$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 466.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 57c | 448.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 20c | 421.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 389.32$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 30c | 334.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 79c | 321$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 41c | 301.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 76c | 276.19$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 57c | 265.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 43c | 250.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…3895backed Yes | 45c | 244$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 57c | 243$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 23c | 236.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 61c | 222.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 73c | 220$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 212.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 35c | 208.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 16c | 204.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 63c | 202.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 178$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 40c | 161.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 156.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 130.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 61c | 124.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 120.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 62c | 115.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 32c | 114.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 59c | 111.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…e74cbacked No | 61c | 109.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 23c | 93.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed Yes | 13c | 86.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 25c | 69.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Yes | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed Yes | 17c | 68.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…f258backed Yes | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd40…7730backed No | 57c | 53.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…cf94backed No | 57c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bb09backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 60c | 46.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 46.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed No | 61c | 43.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 29c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…a674backed No | 69c | 40.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c966backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…d61ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700e…872ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 43c | 34.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…0c74backed No | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 74c | 31.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 73c | 30.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…2e1abacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 22.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ef…e466backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 69c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked No | 77c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…7659backed No | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?this page
- Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.