Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab8075c9f8a8f845c5fe112fc015becba67b24aa9c3841d6e1ac659d737d6d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 64c | 1,530$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.78 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 42c | 1,205$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.59 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 73c | 312.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 31c | 239.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 73c | 238.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 27c | 237.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 45c | 219.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 210$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 29c | 178.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 173.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 24c | 163.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 51c | 160.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 30c | 155$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 137.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 27c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 70c | 99.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 28c | 95.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…208abacked No | 66c | 94.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 73c | 81.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 43c | 79.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…3e2bbacked No | 55c | 71.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 31c | 69.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…7970backed Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +97%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 59c | 67.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 65.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 64.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…6beebacked Yes | 35c | 56.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…d69fbacked No | 37c | 55.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…f698backed No | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 51c | 49.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 36c | 45.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa8…e07abacked Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d3…a01dbacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 44.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 44.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 47c | 36.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 73c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…44edbacked No | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.