Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d109620515950c36bc1cd8e8e36c63325754f4bc838ba0250e3c3369aeb740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,767$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.21 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 78c | 1,506$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 28c | 1,199$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.89 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 59c | 800.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 42c | 721.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 60c | 650.06$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 48c | 534.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked Yes | 40c | 399.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 289.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 273.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 35c | 258.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Yes | 41c | 249.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…cc07backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…edd1backed Yes | 62c | 235.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…d6f5backed Yes | 43c | 233.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 70c | 205$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed No | 27c | 198.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 58c | 181.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 65c | 178.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…77babacked No | 60c | 173.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 60c | 166.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 162.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 42c | 157.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 155.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 141.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 116.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…1428backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 71.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Yes | 41c | 65.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 57.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…5575backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…f1f6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 59c | 47.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…ee74backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…8243backed Yes | 41c | 35.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…4fc8backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 51c | 30.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 41c | 27.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…f4c2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…b34dbacked Yes | 43c | 23.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 77c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.