Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8bb08c604a777b4d9fbbbc9a85c2dbe001c11f4f0eef0f0eb878395570c8173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 18c | 10,210$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 18c | 3,501$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,808$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.33 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 1,307$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 634.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 17c | 596.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 21c | 481.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 17c | 459.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Yes | 16c | 409.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 316.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…87aabacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 263.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…667cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 14c | 193$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 160.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…b516backed Yes | 17c | 151.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…898cbacked Yes | 16c | 149.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Yes | 18c | 139.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…9db9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…e028backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…d36cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 18c | 108.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 16c | 103.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…d38ebacked Yes | 17c | 102.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 79.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…4fc8backed Yes | 20c | 76.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Yes | 18c | 71.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 17c | 69.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…7d50backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.